I’ve got a column in the Palm Beach Post today predicting Carolina will win the Super Bowl 31-21. This prognostication business can be dangerous, of course, and not only because nobody remembers or cares when you are right.
The second issue is that it’s so darn habit-forming. Sitting here right now, with the game still to be played, I’m actually thinking about predicting how many Super Bowls that 26-year-old Cam Newton will win before his career is done.
Heck, let’s do it. I’ll say Cam wins a couple of them, whether today’s game works out for the Panthers or not.
It’s a guess based on his physical size and strength, which point to longevity, and his remarkable progress in reading defenses and discovering how best to torture them, sometimes with his arm and sometimes as a steamrolling runner.
Two rings would put Newton in a class with some pretty big hitters, like Bart Starr, John Elway and Bob Griese. Admittedly, that’s shooting pretty high.
No matter how good Cam looks now, there are any number of things that could get in his way, from injuries to poor long-range personnel decisions by the Panthers to the arrival of other great young quarterbacks operating in Cam’s same supersized style, or in a completely different one. This game is always evolving. It wasn’t too long ago that everybody thought Colin Kaepernick was the answer to every question.
It’s all conjecture on Cam, then,, but there are probably 10 more years to see if it all bears out and I probably won’t be working here anymore for you to rip me for being wrong, so there’s that.
In the meantime, here’s a list of Super Bowl quarterbacks with multiple Super Bowl wins, plus the age they were when the first title was won.
Name SB wins Age at 1st
Joe Montana 4 25
Terry Bradshaw 4 26
Tom Brady 4 24
Troy Aikman 3 26
Eli Manning 2 26
Jim Plunkett 2 33
Bob Griese 2 27
Roger Staubach 2 29
Ben Roethlisberger 2 23
John Elway 2 37
Bart Starr 2 32
(One important note on Starr. His career predated the creation of the Super Bowl. The great Green Bay quarterback previously won NFL championships at the ages of 27, 28 and 31.)